The Impact of New Energy Pricing Reform
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- August 4, 2025
The energy landscape in China is undergoing a profound transformation as the nation embarks on significant reforms aimed at the commercialization of renewable energy tariffsThis initiative marks a decisive shift from a previously state-controlled pricing system towards one that embraces market principlesWith a commitment to fairness in responsibility sharing and distinguishing between existing and incremental projects, the reforms are designed to stimulate a more dynamic competitive environment for renewable energy enterprises across the country.
This transformation is not merely a policy change; it is a critical requirement for sustained large-scale growth in the renewable energy sectorIn the last decade, since 2009, China has implemented various supportive measures, including price adjustments and fiscal incentives for wind and solar energy developmentsAs a result, the installed capacity for renewable energy generation has soared, projected to reach approximately 1.41 billion kilowatts by the end of 2024, accounting for over 40% of the nation's total power capacity—an achievement that has overtaken traditional coal-fired power installations.
Despite the rapid growth, the previous system of fixed pricing for renewable energy has become increasingly outdatedIt failed to accurately reflect market demands and did not ensure equitable cost-sharing within the energy systemAs the industry evolves, these contradictions have become more pronounced, highlighting the urgent need for deeper reforms to enhance competitiveness and encourage high-quality growth within the sectorThe declining costs of renewable energy technologies and the rapid development of power markets across various regions further create favorable conditions for extensive market participation by renewable energy stakeholders.
According to Yang Juan, a researcher at the Market and Price Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Macro-Economic Research, the static pricing structure may hinder the effective monitoring of supply and demand relationships as the scale of renewables continues to expand
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It can also impede the establishment of a price system that accurately reflects the value of resource adjustments and cost-sharing among different energy sourcesConcurrently, the construction costs for renewable resources have decreased significantly, and power markets are increasingly being developed, allowing for better integration of renewables into competitive trading environments.
The inclusion of more renewable energy generation into the market is also pivotal for achieving a green and low-carbon energy consumption transition, while enhancing the competitive edge of manufacturing sectorsZhenjiang Multi-Fiber Technology Co., for example, has embarked on a five-year carbon reduction initiative since 2021, prominently featuring green electricity procurementBy 2024, the company's total electricity consumption is expected to reach 22 million kilowatt-hours, with green electricity transactions comprising about 90% of this, showcasing a clear commitment to sustainable practices even amidst higher costs compared to conventional electricity.
Building upon this premise, the Haining area in Zhejiang Province—a hub for renewable energy industry—has seen a surge in demand for green power and certificates from industrial enterprisesAs of 2024, close to 400 companies in Haining are reported to have purchased green electricity, totaling over 300 million kilowatt-hoursThis shift towards renewable resource utilization indicates a growing trend among businesses looking to boost their international competitiveness.
Central to this transformative process is the development of an innovative pricing settlement mechanism within the reform frameworkThe new regulatory framework consists of three main components: firstly, the establishment of a market-based pricing structure for grid-connected renewable energy, where market transactions determine the pricing; secondly, the formulation of a sustainable pricing settlement mechanism supporting renewable development; and thirdly, tailored policies distinguishing between existing and newly added projects, ensuring stability and continuity in price agreements.
One of the most noteworthy innovations is the establishment of the sustainable pricing settlement mechanism, which aims to mitigate the inherent variability and intermittency of renewable energy generation
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As solar and wind power can fluctuate significantly throughout the day—solar energy peaking during midday while generating little during evening hours—this can lead to wide income variations for such projectsUnder the new scheme, if market transaction prices fall below a predetermined sustainable price, compensations will be offered; conversely, reductions will apply when prices exceed the sustainable benchmarkThis "supplementary compensation" model ensures that companies can maintain stable financial expectations, enhancing the industry's overall health.
Many successful renewable markets internationally have adopted similar approaches, underscoring its viabilityChen Dayu from the Energy Research Institute of Huaneng Group described this reform initiative as providing an essential off-the-market assurance mechanism for renewables, effectively safeguarding enterprises as they navigate competitive landscapes.
The reforms also take careful note of historical investments, delineating policies based on the project launch date—June 1, 2025—as a marker to differentiate between existing and new projectsOlder projects will continue to engage with established price frameworks, while newer ventures will encounter pricing determined through market competitionThis dual approach aims to facilitate a smooth transition, linking the established foundation of support policies with a fresh competitive emphasis on new projects.
Moreover, these initiatives support the ongoing establishment of a new power system, aligning with strategic directives from the recent National CongressThe reforms indicate a progressive step toward a market-oriented electricity network that will undoubtedly shape the future of the energy sectorBy initiating comprehensive market access for renewable energy, the adjustments aim to communicate clearer market signals to enterprises, thereby driving competition through technological innovation and cost optimizationThe industry escape from subsidy dependency towards a model driven by technological advancement indicates a paradigm shift in development philosophy—prioritizing quality and sustainability over mere growth rates.
As renewable energy integrates more intensively into the power system, it will effectively shoulder costs associated with balancing the energy grid, allowing for a clearer value representation of various power sources
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This dynamic will facilitate better coordination between renewables, regulatory resources, and energy networks, thus contributing to the establishment of a more efficient and interconnected electricity systemZhang Chao, an economist at the State Grid Energy Research Institute, articulates that as renewable capacity skyrockets, the random and transient nature of renewables will increasingly challenge traditional power management models, illustrating the necessity for adaptive strategies.Finally, the promotion of a unified national electricity market through these reforms carries crucial implications for power consumersWhile some may worry that market-driven pricing will lead to higher electricity costs, the current structure of residential and agricultural rates remains insulated from these changesInitial projections indicate that average commercial electricity rates may not fluctuate dramatically in the first year of the reforms, with some regions potentially enjoying slight reductions due to increased renewable supply and less overall market pressure.
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